What percentage chance would you give each current member of the Nine making it out of Brockton Bay alive, knowing all you do about factors working for and against them?

• Siberian: Her power is incredibly good defensively. Battery has been tasked with keeping her alive. 92%.
• Jack: The local alliances are specifically interested in killing him, and he’s defensively among the weakest members, though the team is protecting him as a result and because he’s the leader. However, the reason they want to kill him is also the reason I’m on record as saying he won’t be killed, unless it’s too late (to recap, I suspect the conversation he had with Theo may have been the critical moment), so it hinges on whether or not it is. If it is or will be too late, I’d say maybe a 40-50% chance of him getting out alive, otherwise 99%. Mixed with the chances of my theory being right… ~80%, perhaps?
• Burnscar: The only member (except maybe Bonesaw?) whose death would be outright tragic, due to the circumstances of her membership. Not particularly well-defended, except against fire, so it wouldn’t be that hard to kill her. Still, though, I have a feeling Wildbow isn’t going to? 60%, I guess.
• Pinkie Pie: Does not being in the same world’s version of Brockton Bay mean she can’t escape the city (0%) or that she already has (100%, retroactive)? Does escaping from Ponyville count as escaping from Brockton Bay given multiverse mumbo jumbo? She’s quite likely able to do that, at least as long as her activities remain secret. 85%?
• Mannequin: Well defended and hard to kill properly because each of his parts are separately sustained. Would be in trouble if the Manton effect didn’t prevent Kaiser from affecting his chains, and if Kaiser wasn’t, y’know, dead. He’s also going up against Skitter again, which might end up forcing the Undertravelers to kill him. Sundancer ought to be quite effective against him, actually. 80%?
• Shatterbird: Incredibly powerful, but fragile. A true glass cannon. She’s also got an attitude that screams “kill me off”. Battery has been tasked with keeping her alive. 42%.
• Crawler: Like Siberian, but moreso. How the fuck do you kill him? 97%.
• Cherish: Poorly defended. Already in trouble with the Nine, not likely to succeed at redeeming herself in their eyes. She’s not likely to survive unless she defects, and even then, she can expect to have Siberian on her tail. 20% at best.
• Bonesaw: Too precious. Not greatly defended, on her own, but her creations do a good job preventing attacks. 65%?